Enemy Combatant
Friday, July 09, 2004
My Prediction: Kerry Wins In Dem Landslide!
I know there're a lot of folks worried about November, and the possibility of Bush getting another four years to Cheney things up even worse, but I'm going out on a limb here to say that I'm beginning to feel quite optimistic about our prospects. Why? Stories like this, and this, and this.
Polltakers don't seem to be asking the right question, not "Will you [a self-identified Republican or Independent] vote for Kerry?" but "Will you vote for BUSH?" I envision a lot of disillusioned goopers simply staying home come Election Day.
Another way to look at it is, Gore beat Bush in the popular vote by a margin of over 544,000 (situated in the wrong places in relation to state boundaries, unfortunately). Now, how many people have you run into or read about in the past four years who say, "My gosh! I voted for Gore in 2000, but I won't make THAT mistake again! I'm voting for BUSH this time!" Let's have a show of hands: Anybody? Anybody? Bueller?
Now, how many people have you known or read about who say just the opposite -- that they voted for Bush, but that they "won't get fooled again?" I'd say at least a handful of "converts" emerge every few minutes from every movie theater in this country showing Fahrenheit 9/11, which means several dozen new Democratic voters are created every hour (thank you, Michael Moore!).
Let's put it this way: If we actually have a valid election come November -- one in which Diebold machines and Our Robed Betters aren't allowed to run interference for the GOP -- we're looking at 1932 redux. Happy Days Are Here Again!
